7Baggers

Suncor Energy Inc
(NYSE:SU) 

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Suncor Energy Inc. operates as an integrated energy company. The company primarily focuses on developing petroleum resource basins in Canada's Athabasca oil sands; explores, acquires, develops, produces, transports, refines, and markets crude oil in Canada and internationally; markets petroleum and ...

Founded: 1919
Full Time Employees: 12,889
Sector: Energy
Industry: Oil & Gas Integrated

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At a glance:
  • Strong Upstream Leverage to Oil Prices: Suncor’s earnings and cash flow remain highly sensitive to crude oil pricing and differentials, with realized prices and production performance driving near-term results.
  • Integrated Model Helps Balance Volatility: The combination of upstream oil sands production and downstream refining/marketing can partially offset commodity swings, as downstream margins may strengthen when upstream realizations weaken.
  • Capital Returns Remain a Core Focus: Management has prioritized returning cash to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases, supported by operating cash flow and balance sheet capacity.
  • Cost Discipline and Reliability Are Key Watch Items: Operational reliability, sustaining capital intensity, and cost control—especially in oil sands assets—are central to maintaining free cash flow and meeting production guidance.
  • Regulatory and Carbon Policy Exposure: As a Canadian oil sands operator, Suncor faces ongoing exposure to emissions regulation, carbon pricing, and potential compliance costs, influencing long-term capital allocation and project economics.
Bull Thesis:
  • Integrated Business Model Provides Stability: Suncor's fully integrated operations, from upstream oil sands to midstream logistics and a robust downstream refining and marketing network (Petro-Canada), provide a natural hedge against commodity price volatility and generate stable cash flows, particularly from its high-margin refining segment.
  • Strong Free Cash Flow and Shareholder Returns: Benefiting from higher commodity prices and operational efficiencies, Suncor is generating substantial free cash flow. This allows for significant debt reduction, consistent dividend payments, and aggressive share buybacks, directly enhancing shareholder value.
  • Long-Life, Low-Decline Oil Sands Assets: Suncor's core oil sands assets are characterized by their long reserve life and low decline rates, providing a stable and predictable production base for decades. These assets are largely past their major capital-intensive build-out phase, focusing now on maintenance and optimization.
  • Commitment to Debt Reduction and Financial Discipline: Suncor has demonstrated a strong commitment to strengthening its balance sheet through significant debt reduction. This financial discipline improves its resilience to market fluctuations and enhances its capacity for future strategic investments or increased shareholder returns.
Bear Thesis:
  • High Exposure to Volatile Commodity Prices: Despite its integrated model, Suncor's profitability remains highly sensitive to global crude oil prices and Western Canadian Select (WCS) differentials. A sustained downturn in oil prices would significantly impact its upstream revenue and overall financial performance.
  • Significant ESG Scrutiny and Regulatory Risks: Suncor's oil sands operations face intense environmental, social, and governance (ESG) scrutiny due to their carbon intensity, water usage, and land impact. This can lead to increased regulatory burdens, higher compliance costs, and challenges in attracting certain investor segments.
  • Long-Term Energy Transition Risks: The global push towards decarbonization and renewable energy poses a long-term structural risk to fossil fuel demand. While oil demand may persist for years, the accelerating energy transition could eventually impact Suncor's asset valuations, future growth prospects, and cost of capital.
  • Historical Operational Reliability and Safety Challenges: Suncor has faced past issues with operational reliability and safety incidents at its oil sands facilities, leading to production disruptions and increased scrutiny. While improvements have been made, the inherent complexity of these operations means these risks remain a concern.
Main Competitors:
  • Canadian Natural Resources Limited ($CNQ) (Crude Oil, Natural Gas, Synthetic Crude Oil), Competes directly with Suncor in the upstream segment, particularly in oil sands production (e.g., Horizon project, partial ownership of AOSP which Suncor operates). CNRL is Canada's largest crude oil and natural gas producer, vying for capital, talent, and market share in the Canadian energy sector.
  • Imperial Oil Limited ($IMO) (Crude Oil, Natural Gas, Refined Petroleum Products, Petrochemicals), As a major integrated energy company (majority-owned by ExxonMobil), Imperial Oil competes with Suncor across the value chain. This includes oil sands production (e.g., Kearl, Cold Lake), refining capacity, and retail fuel sales through its extensive Esso-branded network, directly challenging Suncor's Petro-Canada brand.
  • Cenovus Energy Inc. ($CVE) (Crude Oil, Natural Gas, Refined Petroleum Products), Cenovus is a significant integrated oil and gas company with substantial oil sands assets (e.g., Foster Creek, Christina Lake) and refining operations (primarily in the US through joint ventures). It competes with Suncor for oil sands development, production volumes, and market access for crude and refined products.
Moat:
Suncor's primary moat stems from its highly integrated business model, encompassing oil sands production, upgrading, refining, and a vast retail network (Petro-Canada). This integration allows it to capture value across the energy value chain, mitigate commodity price volatility, and leverage significant scale and capital-intensive infrastructure, creating high barriers to entry. Competition is intense from other large integrated Canadian energy companies (like CNRL, Imperial Oil, and Cenovus) across all segments, as well as from global majors for capital and talent. Suncor also faces increasing competitive pressure and strategic shifts due to the global energy transition and evolving environmental regulations.
Income Statements:
Quarterly
Annual
    Unit: USD2025-09-30 2025-06-30 2024-11-12 2024-09-30 2023-12-31 2023-03-31 2022-12-31 2021-12-31 2018-12-31 2017-12-31 2017-03-01 2016-02-25 2016-02-04 2015-10-28 2015-06-30 2015-04-30 2015-02-26 2015-02-05 2014-09-30 2014-06-30 2014-03-31 2014-02-28 2013-03-01 2009-10-02 2005-01-27 
                             
      revenues and other income
                             
      gross revenues
    13,000,000 12,000,000       12,000,000   7,000,000 1,000,000 1,000,000 2,000,000 1,000,000 10,000,000 2,000,000 2,000,000 2,000,000 2,000,000 9,000,000 8,000,000   
      less: royalties
    -1,000,000 -758,000,000                        
      other income
    115,000,000 -97,000,000       288,000,000 125,000,000 161,000,000 146,000,000 68,000,000 33,000,000  58,000,000 115,000,000 74,000,000 37,000,000  9,000,000 64,000,000 20,000,000   
      ​
    12,000,000 11,000,000 13,000,000 13,000,000  12,000,000                    
      expenses
                             
      purchases of crude oil and products
    4,000,000 5,000,000       1,000,000 11,000,000 9,000,000 319,000,000 136,000,000 60,000,000 53,000,000 70,000,000 355,000,000 145,000,000 50,000,000 106,000,000 54,000,000 460,000,000 211,000,000  2,000,000 
      operating, selling and general
    3,000,000 3,000,000       7,000,000 9,000,000 9,000,000 5,000,000 1,000,000 1,000,000 1,000,000 1,000,000 6,000,000 1,000,000 1,000,000 1,000,000 1,000,000 5,000,000 5,000,000  1,000,000 
      transportation and distribution
    513,000,000 489,000,000                        
      depreciation, depletion, amortization and impairment
    1,000,000 1,000,000       4,000,000 5,000,000 6,000,000 3,000,000 1,000,000 790,000,000 760,000,000 773,000,000 4,000,000 709,000,000 723,000,000 1,000,000 669,000,000 2,000,000 3,000,000   
      exploration
    6,000,000 4,000,000       44,000,000 104,000,000 289,000,000 120,000,000 8,000,000 3,000,000 4,000,000 105,000,000 96,000,000 14,000,000 2,000,000 5,000,000 75,000,000 115,000,000 71,000,000  55,000,000 
      gain on disposal of assets
    -17,000,000           8,000,000    8,000,000 3,000,000   5,000,000      
      financing expenses
    476,000,000        320,000,000  445,000,000 150,000,000 36,000,000 36,000,000 39,000,000 39,000,000 153,000,000 40,000,000 52,000,000  28,000,000 135,000,000 127,000,000  9,000,000 
      earnings before income taxes
    2,000,000 1,000,000       1,000,000 5,000,000 86,000,000    427,000,000  2,000,000 259,000,000 1,000,000  1,000,000 2,000,000 725,000,000  1,000,000 
      income tax expense
                             
      current
    412,000,000 412,000,000        1,000,000 153,000,000 3,000,000   110,000,000  832,000,000  258,000,000 281,000,000 298,000,000 331,000,000 1,000,000  69,000,000 
      deferred
    186,000,000 -112,000,000       351,000,000 249,000,000  172,000,000  30,000,000 361,000,000   84,000,000 66,000,000  15,000,000 358,000,000 266,000,000   
      net earnings
    1,000,000 1,000,000       853,000,000 4,000,000 445,000,000      1,000,000 180,000,000 773,000,000  899,000,000 2,000,000 458,000,000  1,100,000,000 
      yoy
                    -99.89% 8900.00% 68.78%  -18.27%     
      qoq
    0.00%        21225.00% -99.10%       -99.44% -76.71%   44850.00% -99.56%    
      other comprehensive income
    337,000,000 50,000,000                        
      items that may be subsequently reclassified to earnings:
                             
      foreign currency translation adjustment
    33,000,000 -159,000,000                        
      items that will not be reclassified to earnings:
                             
      actuarial gain on employee retirement benefit plans, net of income taxes
    304,000,000 209,000,000                        
      total comprehensive income
    1,000,000 1,000,000        4,000,000 163,000,000               
      per common share
                             
      net earnings – basic and diluted
    1,340,000 930,000        2,680,000 280,000               
      cash dividends
    570,000 570,000        1,280,000 1,160,000              230,000 
      loss on disposal of assets
                             
      intersegment revenues
            3,000,000   2,000,000 442,000,000 654,000,000 555,000,000 507,000,000 3,000,000 684,000,000 1,000,000 1,000,000 1,000,000 4,000,000 3,000,000   
      operating revenues, net of royalties
            15,000,000 32,000,000 26,000,000 9,000,000 2,000,000 2,000,000 2,000,000 2,000,000 13,000,000 2,000,000 3,000,000 3,000,000 3,000,000 12,000,000 10,000,000   
      transportation
            1,000,000 1,000,000 1,000,000 645,000,000 170,000,000 182,000,000 141,000,000 152,000,000 541,000,000 162,000,000 117,000,000 122,000,000 140,000,000 482,000,000 337,000,000   
      (gain) loss on asset exchange and disposal of assets
                             
      capital and exploration expenditures
            3,000,000   4,000,000 1,000,000 1,000,000 985,000,000 793,000,000 3,000,000 954,000,000 975,000,000 986,000,000 911,000,000 4,000,000 4,000,000   
      financing income
                             
      net earnings attributable to:
                             
      common shareholders
             4,000,000 434,000,000               
      non-controlling interest
              11,000,000               
      other comprehensive loss
                             
      net earnings – attributable to common shareholders – basic and diluted
             2,680,000 270,000               
      income taxes
                             
      items reclassified to earnings:
                             
      (gain) loss on disposal of assets
                 1,000,000            
      voyageur upgrader project charges
                         82,000,000    
      project start-up costs
                       1,000,000  15,000,000 57,000,000  26,000,000 
      financing incomes
                       33,000,000      
      revenues
                            8,000,000 
      energy marketing and trading activities
                            373,000,000 
      transportation and other costs
                            132,000,000 
      depreciation, depletion and amortization
                            717,000,000 
      accretion of asset retirement obligations
                            26,000,000 
      royalties
                            531,000,000 
      taxes other than income taxes
                            496,000,000 
      benefit from income taxes
                             
      future
                            467,000,000 
      dividends on preferred securities, net of tax
                             
      revaluation of us preferred securities, net of tax
                             
      net earnings attributable to common shareholders
                            1,000,000 
      - basic
                            2,400,000 
      - diluted
                            2,360,000 
    Balance Sheets:
    Quarterly
    Annual
      Unit: USD2025-09-30 2025-06-30 2023-12-31 2023-09-30 2023-06-30 2023-03-31 2022-12-31 2022-06-30 2021-12-31 2018-12-31 2017-12-31 2016-12-31 2015-12-31 2015-09-30 2015-06-30 2015-03-31 2014-12-31 2014-09-30 2014-06-30 2014-03-31 2013-12-31 2012-12-31 2006-12-31 2004-12-31 2003-06-30 
                               
        assets
                               
        current assets
                               
        cash and cash equivalents
      2,000,000 2,000,000     1,000,000 1,000,000               521,000,000 88,000,000  
        accounts receivable
      5,000,000 5,000,000     6,000,000 8,000,000               1,000,000 627,000,000 368,000,000 
        inventories
      5,000,000 5,000,000     5,000,000 5,000,000               589,000,000 423,000,000 299,000,000 
        income taxes receivable
      671,000,000 597,000,000     244,000,000 180,000,000               33,000,000   
        total current assets
      13,000,000 13,000,000     14,000,000 16,000,000  8,000,000 9,000,000 11,000,000 10,000,000 13,000,000 13,000,000 13,000,000 13,000,000 15,000,000 15,000,000 15,000,000 14,000,000 14,000,000 2,000,000 1,000,000 700,000,000 
        property, plant and equipment
      68,000,000 68,000,000     62,000,000 62,000,000  74,000,000 73,000,000 71,000,000 61,000,000 61,000,000 60,000,000 60,000,000 59,000,000 58,000,000 57,000,000 58,000,000 57,000,000 55,000,000 16,000,000 10,000,000 7,000,000 
        exploration and evaluation
      1,000,000 1,000,000     1,000,000 2,000,000  2,000,000 2,000,000 2,000,000 1,000,000 2,000,000 2,000,000 2,000,000 2,000,000 2,000,000 2,000,000 2,000,000 2,000,000 3,000,000    
        other assets
      2,000,000 1,000,000     1,000,000 1,000,000  1,000,000 1,000,000 1,000,000 1,000,000 1,000,000 1,000,000 608,000,000 598,000,000 582,000,000 473,000,000 441,000,000 422,000,000 320,000,000    
        goodwill and other intangible assets
      3,000,000 3,000,000     3,000,000 3,000,000  3,000,000 3,000,000 3,000,000 3,000,000 3,000,000 3,000,000 3,000,000 3,000,000 3,000,000 3,000,000 3,000,000 3,000,000 3,000,000    
        deferred income taxes
      138,000,000 196,000,000     81,000,000 61,000,000  128,000,000 100,000,000 63,000,000 35,000,000 13,000,000 13,000,000 29,000,000 26,000,000 65,000,000 50,000,000 46,000,000 65,000,000 80,000,000    
        total assets
      89,000,000 88,000,000     84,000,000 86,000,000  89,000,000 89,000,000 88,000,000 77,000,000 80,000,000 80,000,000 79,000,000 79,000,000 79,000,000 79,000,000 80,000,000 78,000,000 76,000,000 18,000,000 11,000,000 9,000,000 
        ​
        1,000,000 2,000,000 2,000,000 1,000,000   2,000,000                 
        liabilities and shareholders’ equity
                               
        current liabilities
                               
        current portion of long-term debt
      1,000,000 1,000,000                        
        current portion of long-term lease liabilities
      556,000,000 638,000,000     317,000,000 302,000,000                  
        accounts payable and accrued liabilities
      7,000,000 7,000,000     8,000,000 9,000,000               2,000,000 1,000,000 806,000,000 
        current portion of provisions
      871,000,000 849,000,000     564,000,000 767,000,000                  
        income taxes payable
      85,000,000 100,000,000     484,000,000 1,000,000                32,000,000 31,000,000 
        total current liabilities
      10,000,000 10,000,000     12,000,000 14,000,000  10,000,000 9,000,000 8,000,000 7,000,000 8,000,000 8,000,000 8,000,000 8,000,000 10,000,000 10,000,000 10,000,000 10,000,000 9,000,000 2,000,000 1,000,000 868,000,000 
        long-term debt
      8,000,000 8,000,000     9,000,000 12,000,000  13,000,000 13,000,000 16,000,000 14,000,000 14,000,000 13,000,000 13,000,000 12,000,000 10,000,000 10,000,000 10,000,000 10,000,000 9,000,000 2,000,000 2,000,000 2,000,000 
        long-term lease liabilities
      3,000,000 3,000,000     2,000,000 2,000,000                  
        other long-term liabilities
      1,000,000 1,000,000     1,000,000 1,000,000  2,000,000 2,000,000 2,000,000 1,000,000 1,000,000 1,000,000 1,000,000 1,000,000 1,000,000 1,000,000 1,000,000 1,000,000 2,000,000    
        provisions
      11,000,000 11,000,000     9,000,000 6,000,000  6,000,000 7,000,000 6,000,000 5,000,000 4,000,000 5,000,000 5,000,000 4,000,000 4,000,000 4,000,000 4,000,000 4,000,000 4,000,000    
        equity
      45,000,000 44,000,000     39,000,000 39,000,000  44,000,000 45,000,000 44,000,000              
        total liabilities and shareholders’ equity
      89,000,000 88,000,000     84,000,000 86,000,000               18,000,000 11,000,000 9,000,000 
        assets held for sale
            1,000,000 860,000,000                  
        short-term debt
            2,000,000 1,000,000               7,000,000 30,000,000 1,000,000 
        liabilities associated with assets held for sale
            530,000,000 220,000,000                  
        liabilities and shareholders' equity
                               
        total liabilities and shareholders' equity
               89,000,000 89,000,000 88,000,000 77,000,000 80,000,000 80,000,000 79,000,000 79,000,000 79,000,000 79,000,000 80,000,000 78,000,000 76,000,000    
        shareholders' equity
                  39,000,000 41,000,000 41,000,000 41,000,000 41,000,000 41,000,000 41,000,000 42,000,000 41,000,000 39,000,000    
        future income taxes
                            109,000,000 57,000,000 33,000,000 
        deferred charges and other
                            290,000,000 320,000,000 267,000,000 
        taxes other than income taxes
                            40,000,000 41,000,000 20,000,000 
        accrued liabilities and other
                            1,000,000 749,000,000 267,000,000 
        shareholders’ equity
                            8,000,000 4,000,000 3,000,000 
        preferred securities
                              486,000,000 
        share capital
                              585,000,000 
        contributed surplus
                              3,000,000 
        retained earnings
                              2,000,000 
      Cashflow Statements:
      Quarterly
      Annual
        Unit: USD2025-09-30 2023-12-31 2023-09-30 2023-06-30 2023-03-31 2022-06-30 2022-03-31 2021-12-31 2015-12-31 2015-09-30 2015-06-30 2014-12-31 2014-09-30 
                     
          operating activities
                     
          net earnings
                  -772,000,000 -50,000,000 
          adjustments for:
                     
          depreciation, depletion, amortization and impairment
               1,000,000 790,000,000 760,000,000  722,000,000 
          deferred income tax expense
                     
          accretion
        1,000,000             
          unrealized foreign exchange loss on u.s. dollar denominated debt
        647,000,000             
          change in fair value of financial instruments and trading inventory
        -277,000,000             
          gain on disposal of assets
                 1,000,000   -2,000,000 
          loss on extinguishment of long-term debt
                     
          share-based compensation
        175,000,000        21,000,000 26,000,000 4,000,000  -31,000,000 
          settlement of decommissioning and restoration liabilities
        -35,000,000             
          other
        -157,000,000          2,000,000   
          decrease in non-cash working capital
        -276,000,000             
          cash flow from operating activities
        1,000,000             
          investing activities
                     
          capital and exploration expenditures
                    
          proceeds from disposal of assets
                     
          other investments
                     
          cash flow used in investing activities
                    
          financing activities
                     
          net decrease in short-term debt
                     
          repayment of long-term debt
                     
          lease liability payments
        12,000,000             
          issuance of common shares under share option plans
        53,000,000             
          repurchase of common shares
                    
          distributions relating to non-controlling interest
                     
          dividends paid on common shares
        9,000,000             
          cash flow used in financing activities
                    
          increase in cash and cash equivalents
        999,000,000             
          effect of foreign exchange on cash and cash equivalents
        180,000,000             
          cash and cash equivalents at beginning of period
                    
          cash and cash equivalents at end of period
                    
          supplementary cash flow information
                     
          interest paid
        -135,000,000             
          income taxes paid
        46,000,000             
          deferred income tax recovery
                     
          loss on disposal of assets
                     
          ​
         1,000,000 -1,000,000 2,000,000  2,000,000 -443,000,000      
          deferred income tax (recovery) expense
                     
          capital expenditures on assets held for sale
                     
          other investments and acquisitions
                     
          net increase in short-term debt
                     
          issuance of long-term debt
                     
          increase in non-cash working capital
                     
          gross revenues
                     
          royalties
                     
          operating revenues, net of royalties
                     
          per common share – basic
                     
          per common share – diluted
                     
          operating earnings
                     
          funds from operations
                     
          cash flow provided by operating activities
                465,000,000 1,000,000 941,000,000  
          weighted-average number of common shares in millions – basic
                     
          weighted-average number of common shares in millions – diluted
                     
          roce
                     
          roce (%), excluding major projects in progress
                     
          capital expenditures
                     
          sustaining
                     
          growth
                     
          discretionary free funds flow
                     
          balance sheet
                     
          total assets
                     
          total debt
                     
          net debt
                     
          total liabilities
                     
          year ended december 31
                     
          production volumes
                     
          oil sands
                     
          exploration and production
                     
          total
                     
          production mix
                     
          crude oil and liquids / natural gas
                     
          average price realizations
                     
          oil sands operations
                     
          syncrude
                     
          fort hills
                     
          refinery crude oil processed
                     
          refinery utilization
                     
          eastern north america
                     
          western north america
                     
          roce, excluding major projects in progress
                     
          long-term debt
                     
          financial
                     
          dividend
                     
          operating revenues
                     
          key metrics
                     
          total debt to total debt plus shareholders' equity
                     
          net debt to funds from operations
                     
          deferred income taxes
                 30,000,000 361,000,000   
          accretion of liabilities
                38,000,000 34,000,000 35,000,000  
          change in fair value of derivative contracts
                 2,000,000 5,000,000   
          (gain) loss on disposal of assets
                     
          exploration expenses
                     
          cash flow from (used in) operations
                467,000,000 785,000,000 1,000,000  
          decrease (increase) in non-cash working capital
                 399,000,000    
          cash flow from operations
                     
          less: capital and exploration expenditures
                     
          free cash flow
                     
          less: royalties
                     
          adjusted for:
                     
          net impact of not proceeding with the voyageur upgrader project
                     
          impairments
                     
          impact of income tax adjustments on deferred income taxes
                     
          oil sands ventures
                     
          unrealized foreign exchange gain on u.s. dollar denominated debt
                     
          nine months ended september 30
                     
          unrealized foreign exchange (gain) loss on u.s. dollar denominated debt
                     
          six months ended june 30
                     
          three months ended
                     
          total production
                     
          revenues and other income
                     
          other income
                     
          roce (%) for the twelve months ended
                     
          common share information
                     
          dividend per common share
                     
          share price at the end of trading
                     
          unrealized foreign exchange gain on u.s. dollar denominated long-term debt
                     
          capital expenditures, including capitalized interest
                     
          decrease (increase) in operating working capital
                     
          accounts receivable
                     
          inventories
                     
          accounts payable and accrued liabilities
                     
          taxes payable
                     
          cash from investing activities
                     
          net cash surplus (deficiency) before financing activities
                     
          increase in short-term debt
                     
          net increase in other long-term debt
                     
          issuance of common shares under stock option plan
                     
          deferred revenue
                     
          cash from financing activities
                     
          proceeds from issuance of long-term debt
                     
          net decrease in other long-term debt
                     
          redemption of preferred securities
                     
          issuance of common shares understock option plan
                     
          dividends paid on preferred securities
                     
          net (decrease) in other long-term debt